Before we get into this one, a quick note. The intention of this newsletter isn't to scare anyone. We're not here to stress you out or tell you the sky is falling. We just want to look at the actual data, discuss the broader market trends, and help you understand where things are heading so you can stay ahead of it. That's the whole point of this newsletter. Knowledge is power. Let's get into it.

Anthropic's research team recently published the most detailed study of its kind. They tracked what people actually use Claude for at work across 800 occupations. Not what AI could theoretically do. What it's doing right now.

75% of programming tasks are already covered by AI usage. 67% of data entry. Customer service is right behind. Business and finance sits at 85% theoretical exposure with 20% actual coverage today. Legal is at 80% theoretical with 15% actual. The gap between those two numbers is what matters. The capability is there. The adoption just hasn't caught up yet.

Interestingly, the people in the most exposed roles aren't who you'd expect. They tend to be older, female, more educated, and higher paid. That's not the narrative most people picture when they think about AI and jobs.

The researchers were direct about what could happen. They compared the potential scenario to the 2007 financial crisis where unemployment doubled from 5% to 10%. They said a comparable shift in AI-exposed occupations hasn't happened yet. But the conditions are there.

Again, this isn't about fear. It's about awareness. The data is telling us something and it's worth paying attention to.

The trends beyond Anthropic's study paint a similar picture.

Entry-level hiring at the 15 biggest tech companies has fallen 55% since 2019. Computer science enrollment across the UC system declined for the first time since the dot-com bust in the early 2000s. The U.S. economy shed 92,000 jobs in February and unemployment ticked up to 4.4%.

Some companies are being very open about it. Jack Dorsey's Block cut nearly half its workforce and said AI enables smaller and flatter teams. Meta is reportedly considering laying off 20% of its workforce to fund AI infrastructure spending. Boris Cherny, the head of Claude Code at Anthropic, said the software engineer title as we know it could change dramatically by end of year.

But here's the other side. Citadel Securities pointed out that hiring for software engineers has actually increased in recent months. Morgan Stanley's research suggests AI will create more software engineering jobs, just with different skills required. Software developer roles are still projected to grow 17.9% through 2033. And AI-related job categories like AI Engineer are growing at over 140%.

The picture isn't doom and gloom. It's a shift. The work is changing. The roles are evolving. The people who understand that early are the ones who benefit the most.

This week made the shift feel very real. Anthropic shipped three features in five days that fundamentally changed what Claude can do without a human present.

Monday they shipped Dispatch. You can text Claude from your phone and it runs tasks on your desktop while you're away. Wednesday they shipped Channels. Telegram, Discord, Slack, and iMessage can now push messages directly into Claude Code sessions. Friday they shipped cloud scheduled tasks. Set a repo, a schedule, and a prompt. Claude runs it in the cloud without your computer on.

Each feature removed the biggest limitation of the one before it. Dispatch needed your desktop running. Channels needed a session open. Scheduled tasks need nothing at all.

That's not meant to be scary. It's meant to show you where the tools are going. The people who learn to use these tools effectively will be the ones who thrive. A single developer using Claude Code, Dispatch, and scheduled tasks can now maintain a codebase around the clock. That's not a threat. That's leverage.

OpenAI is building a super app. Bloomberg reported on Friday that OpenAI is developing a desktop application combining ChatGPT, Codex, and their Atlas browser into one product. The move comes directly in response to Anthropic. Claude chat, Claude Code, Cowork, and Chrome already work together as one ecosystem. OpenAI is trying to consolidate their scattered products to keep up. No launch date yet but the direction is clear. Everyone is converging on the same vision of AI as an always-on work partner.

The data is real. The trends are clear. But so is the opportunity. Every major technological shift in history created more jobs than it displaced. The internet didn't kill business. It created entirely new industries. Mobile didn't kill software. It multiplied it.

AI is doing the same thing right now. The work isn't disappearing. It's transforming. The skills that matter are changing. The people who adapt early don't just survive. They get ahead.

Our advice? Don't panic. Don't ignore it either. Learn the tools. Understand the trends. Stay curious. That's exactly why you're reading this newsletter.

Stay building. 🤖